iOS 7 Download Traffic Overtaking Netflix Inside Carrier Networks

We all know that Apple’s iOS 7 download is making up for a large percentage of the overall traffic going across the public Internet, but what about the impact this is having on last mile providers? According to data that transparent caching provider Qwilt has shared with me, some of their carrier customers are seeing iOS 7 and app downloads account for nearly 40% of all the traffic inside their networks. Below is a chart from one node, inside a North American based carrier showing that Apple downloads surpassed what Netflix videos were consuming in the way of bandwidth, last night.

Apple iOS Updates Transparent Caching by Qwilt - Major US OperatorIt also shows that for service providers that have deployed transparent caching inside their network, much of the traffic surge can be alleviated, with the chart showing that in this case, Qwilt’s caching platform is handling 61% of all the traffic and even more important on a day like today, 95% of all Apple iOS downloads.

This is the whole reason why network operators are evaluating and deploying transparent Internet caching inside their networks to address a broader range of Internet content. The intent is two-fold. The first is to reduce the network infrastructure and bandwidth costs associated with over the top (OTT) content and large file delivery and the second is to differentiate their consumer broadband service and deliver better user performance. By eliminating any potential delays associated with the Internet or even the content origin, caching allows the operator to highlight their investment being made in the access network and deliver more content at top speeds.

One carrier using Qwilt’s transparent caching solution said the performance has been fantastic in response to this latest iOS release. When iOS 6 was released they got hammered at the edge for several days, but with Qwilt’s solution this time around, they saw a spike of about 25 minutes on their edge and then it dissipated, since it was being served it up from the cache. They also said they tested the download direct from Apple which took one hour, versus the 12 minutes it took to download locally from their cache.

Transparent caching technology probably isn’t something many have heard about, unless you work for a network operator, but the technology is crucial in allowing last mile providers to deliver content by Apple, Netflix and other major content owners and distributors to consumers quickly and with quality. The market for transparent caching services will grow to $350M in the next three years and this article will give you an overview of how transparent caching works and it’s role in the CDN ecosystem. You can also check out transparentcaching.com for all my articles on the subject.

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By My Estimates, Apple’s iOS 7 Download Business Is Worth About $10-$12M To Akamai

ios7-bannerI’ve been getting a lot of questions over the past two weeks asking me how much revenue Akamai could get in Q3 and Q4 of this year, due to the new iOS 7 update from Apple. Akamai is not the only CDN that does software downloads for Apple, Level 3 does them as well, but Akamai still has the largest percentage of Apple’s download business. While we don’t know how many iOS 7 downloads will take place, over what period of time, you can make some estimates and get a range on what the business is worth to Akamai.

Based on data Apple has given out, Apple has about 750M iOS devices (iPhone/iPad/iPod), in the market globally. From that number, lets figure that 500M of the devices will be capable of getting the new iOS 7 software and will be updated. For the sake of estimating numbers, lets assume that every single one of those 500M devices will be updated by the end of this year and that Akamai will do 100% of the downloads.

Apple’s new iOS 7 download, on my phone at least, is 754MB. If Akamai delivered 500M downloads at 754MB they would have delivered a total of 377,000,000,000 MB, which converts to 377,000,000 GB. If Apple was paying $0.015 (one and half cents) per GB, the total value to Akamai would be $5.65M. Apple pays based on a per Mbps sustained model, not per GB delivered, but per GB at least gives us an estimate. While this seems simple to calculate, there is one variable you have to factor in.

CDN delivery in the U.S. is cheap, but that’s not the case in many other countries where iOS devices are located. So using a per GB delivered price of one and half cents does not work when you’re talking about delivering iOS 7 downloads in countries where bandwidth is more expensive, especially in Asia. So you have to factor in a percentage of the 500M downloads costing more than they do in the U.S. to deliver. You also can’t expect 500M devices to all be updated within three and half months. So there are some variables that skew the final numbers.

Based on my calculations, and factoring in some other details I know of Apple’s business, I estimate that on a low-end, Apple’s iOS 7 download business is worth about $10M to Akamai, over the course of iOS devices being updated. Realistically, that’s a couple of quarters. That $10M estimate could go a bit higher depending on the percentage of downloads that come from countries where delivery charges are more expensive, so I would estimate it at $12M on the high-end.

Coming up with estimates is not an exact science, there are a bunch of variables, but we have enough data in the market on file size, number of devices, and the going rate for CDN pricing in the U.S. to be able to come up with pretty realistic estimates on what business like this is worth is today’s market.

Free Blog Giveaway: Win A Google Chromecast

photoI’ve gotten my hands on some extra Google Chromecast’s and will be giving them away to some lucky readers of my blog. We’ll also be giving them away at the Streaming Media West show in November as well. To win one from my blog, simply add a comment to this post and I’ll pick three random winners in two weeks. I will only ship these within the U.S. so you must have a U.S. based address if you want to win. Good luck!

EdgeCast Announces Big CDN Deal With Chunghwa Telecom In Taiwan

EdgeCast continues to expand their network and sales reach with a new telco managed CDN partnership with Chunghwa Telecom’s data communications business group (HiNet) In Taiwan. HiNet will use EdgeCast technology to build a high-performance CDN within Taiwan and provide caching, streaming, acceleration and security services to Taiwanese media and content providers. HiNet will invest from a hardware, colocation and bandwidth perspective and EdgeCast will contribute their software and manage the newly built CDN.

This is a big deal for EdgeCast as Taiwan is one of the most difficult markets to reach, has a very high population of Internet users, is a tremendously desirable CDN market for traffic termination, and is a fast growing market for CDN customers. Once built, HiNet will be EdgeCast’s local reseller and will take their new offering to all of HiNet’s enterprise customers, where they are a major market leader for IP infrastructure in Taiwan. It will also give HiNet an excellent domestic CDN to service all their big enterprise and content customers.

This is another example of EdgeCast once again beating out other larger CDNs whom offer licensed/managed CDN services, as multiple CDN vendors were competing for Chunghwa Telecom’s business. EdgeCast has the most licensed/managed CDN deals in the market, and this deal structure with Chunghwa Telecom is very similar to ones they have done with PT Telecom in Indonesia and Telia in the Nordics.

EdgeCast says they now carry more than 5% of all worldwide Internet traffic, have 4Tbps of egress capacity deployed, and at their current rate of growth, is on a run rate of over $140M in revenue by the end of 2014. Based on my estimates, EdgeCast’s managed/licensed deals will account for about $15M in total revenue for the company in 2013.

Industry Executives Say QoS And Bandwidth Limitations Are Leading Technical Obstacle To OTT Adoption

A majority of executives, 59%, say bandwidth limitations are currently the leading technical obstacle to OTT adoption. Quality of service and quality of experience—which may also be related to bandwidth issues—is also seen as an obstacle by 55%. “OTT services need to be able to consistently provide content that is high quality, doesn’t cut out, break up, or freeze,” says one respondent. “Consumers want to be able to watch content without these distractions that can ruin the entertainment experience.”

Screen Shot 2013-09-02 at 10.02.34 PMTo a large degree, this may tie in with bandwidth capabilities as far as achieving video quality, but also extends to the quality of the viewer’s experience as well. Quality of experience (or quality of mobility) also addresses the personalization, brand and user-interface experiences of the video delivery, in tune with consumer preferences by the devices they use.

When looking across the primary industry segments, pay-TV operators tend to downplay the impact of bandwidth as a technical limitation. Many offer their own broadband networks, and thus are simply able to piggyback OTT offerings directly through this channel. Of most concern to pay-TV operators is being able to technically manage content security. Ironically, only 30% of content providers surveyed are experiencing any technical limitations in terms of content security. At the origination end of content, there may be less concern or involvement with downstream security requirements.

Screen Shot 2013-09-02 at 10.02.43 PMOTT services can be delivered in a linear fashion, meaning the live streaming of channels, or video on demand, in which users can download and view libraries of videos and other content. When asked about the types of services that are most important to offer for OTT video delivery, most respondents see the potential in video on demand (VoD). VoD leads the list by a wide margin, cited by 79% of respondents. In addition, looking a few years down the road, live, linear content—a metered approach measured in minutes per day—will increase in importance, rising from 48% to 63%. A majority, 54%, also see it as a market for those seeking catch-up TV and time-shifting. The view that video on demand is the sweet spot of OTT is shared across the major industry segments covered in the survey.

Screen Shot 2013-09-02 at 10.07.30 PMFull results from the report, entitled “OTT Video: Coming to a Paid Channel Near You” is available as a free download from the StreamingMedia.com website.

Here’s How Much Broadcasters Can Save By Implementing Media Asset Management Into Their Video Workflow

An average broadcaster today has to balance two contrasting realities to make its business work profitably. One is transitioning to digital, tapeless, file-based and IP workflows – simultaneously or in lock-step with each other – and the other is to manage the business side and make content available for a variety of screens, device types, and networks, on-demand and anywhere. These two imperatives are seemingly disparate, yet highly intertwined. Most often, restrained by limited budget and resources, companies focus on specific point solutions that help them take care of immediate needs, forcing them to scramble to build and/or buy components sub-optimally just to keep their heads above water.

However, in doing so, these companies, though taking care of a tactical challenge, actually add more complexity and miss the strategic business imperative. Such siloed deployments aimed more on certain aspects of the underlying production workflow, are often isolated from the larger organizational perspective, inevitably hampering collaboration and interoperability between different functions, systems, and knowledge workers.This leads to longer cycle times, resource redundancy and effort duplication around the workflow, and sub-optimal investments in unviable products as well as processes – something that a media company can ill-afford.

Many broadcasting companies have implemented media asset management (MAM) to manage the content assets within a highly collaborative production workflow, and facilitate content discovery, production and repurposing, and, in so doing have experienced tangible benefits. MAM can eliminate redundancies as well as ensure higher level of quality check (QC) at every step of the process. Importantly, it can help achieve cost savings and efficiencies by empowering collaboration, cycle time acceleration, intelligent discovery while reducing redundancies, and the cost of lost or misplaced work among others.

Frost & Sullivan did an analysis of the time and cost savings for just content acquisition from external suppliers for one program series per week. Needless to say, such tasks and similar ones, repeat through the workflow. Hence, if applied, MWRW multiplies the benefits several times over, especially for a programmer who collates and distributes numerous programs.

Screen Shot 2013-09-04 at 1.32.30 PMThis recently released white paper, entitled “Media Workflow and Resource Management: The Roadmap to Revenue Growth and Reduced Complexity,” analyses the key challenges faced by media companies, especially television programmers, to not only manage their growing content bank but also the business processes and ecosystems tied to the same. This paper also, using illustrative examples, explore feasible solutions that can enable content companies to alleviate enterprise-scale workflow concerns, while reaching the widest audience possible and reap profits.

You can download the white paper for free from the Frost & Sullivan website.

Speakers Announced For Streaming Media West Show: Spots Closing Fast

Nearly half of the speaking spots for the Streaming Media West show, taking place November 19-20 in Huntington Beach California, have already been filled. We’ve got confirmed speakers and presenters from Starz, A+E Television Networks, Google, Roku, Comcast, YouTube, The Tennis Channel, LG Electronics, DIRECTV, Redbox, HBO, Vevo, CNN, BBC, Fox Networks Group, CBS Interactive, University of Texas at Dallas, Oregon State University, University of Utah, Oracle, TechCrunch, CBC, Adobe, Cisco, Elemental Technologies, Haivision, Dolby, Ooyala and Ericsson amongst many more. We’ve also got analysts from firms including MRG, Frost & Sullivan, TDG Research and others.

The Streaming Media West website has been updated and now has the latest program details and list of confirmed speakers with another dozen or more speakers expected to be added this week.

The program is filling up even faster than it did last year, so if you owe me some kind of follow up regarding your speaking submission, or I am waiting to hear from you on next steps, please note that the program is closing fast. Once is it filled, it’s too late. I know some will be upset when they contact me six weeks before the show and want to know why they can’t speak, but I have a lot of speaking submissions and spots get filled based on who confirms first. So please contact me ASAP if I am waiting to hear back from you.

Some people want me to chase them down for weeks, which I will not do. If you are offered a speaking spot, and two or three emails from me later you still have not followed up, I will_not_wait for_you, and will move on to the next company. So please, be responsive with emails and thorough with follow-up or your opportunity will go to someone else. I know some shows place speakers last minute, but I don’t do that, unless there is a cancellation. I plan to have all speakers place by October 9th, which is exactly 4 weeks from today.