Bankers Say Roku Will Go Public Soon, Project Revenue Of $275M-$300M In 2015

roku_logo_lRoku’s CEO Anthony Wood was on CNBC earlier today and the first question he was asked was if Roku plans to go public this year. While he wouldn’t comment on anything having to do with funding, which is expected, Wall Street bankers I have spoken with tell me Roku will go public shortly. What exactly “shortly” means remains to be seen, and while I haven’t heard a specific date, I’ve been told that Roku is already well into the IPO process. Bankers tell me Roku’s revenue for 2014 was over $200M with them projecting 2015 revenue to be in the range of $275M-$300M. I’m also hearing that Roku is expected to become profitable in Q1 of this year. To date, Roku has raised over $150M in venture funding.

I don’t know how much money Roku is looking to raise in their IPO, but I would estimate it to be $100M on the low-end and as much as $150M on the high-end. While 2014 wasn’t one of the better year’s for new IPOs, GoPro has done well and even thought they sell a different type of consumer product than Roku, many on Wall Street will use GoPro’s IPO success to excite others about Roku’s business. In Q3 of last year, Roku said it had sold 10M players in the U.S. since launching in the market in 2008.

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2014 Blog Recap: 1.8M Page Views, Thank You For All The Support

I wanted to take a minute to thank all the readers, sponsors and supporters of my blog in 2014. With just over 1.8M page views last year, and more than 30 sponsors, I’m still amazed by the reach I have, the loyalty of my readers and the support of so many vendors in the market. As just a single person, with no editor, no formal training in writing, and running a blog off of a $100 a year platform, I’m still humbled that so many people take an interest in what I have to say and also link to my posts. As many know, I don’t blog for a paycheck, that’s not what drives me and my only goal is to try to help educate the market, set realistic expectations and tell it like it is. It’s more than a job for me and I understand the responsibility I have to the industry and to those who work in it. As always, I am available to anyone, at any time, and you can always find my cell phone number listed at the top of my blog. I take all calls, return all emails and accept all meeting requests – free of charge. Thank you for your continued support.

Dish Announces Internet Pay TV Service: $20 A Month, But With Major Limitations

Screen Shot 2015-01-05 at 1.14.09 PMWe’ve been hearing about Dish’s Internet Pay TV service for a long time, and today, we finally have some more details. While some might be intrigued by the low price, don’t get too excited just yet, there are some major limitations to the service. Called Sling TV, the service will launch sometime this quarter (Update: Sling TV’s CEO said the service will “commercially launch later this month”) and will provide a dozen channels at launch for $20 a month, with no contract. Sling TV will only be available in the U.S. and one of the major limitations is that you can only stream to one device at a time. So multiple people in your home won’t be able to use the service at the same time. Also, for anyone who signs up in the U.S. and then travels overseas, the service will not work outside the U.S. on any device.

At launch, the channels included with the service include ESPN, ESPN2, CNN, TBS, TNT, Cartoon Network, Adult Swim, Travel Channel, Food Network, ABC Family, HGTV, Disney Channel and some Internet video from Maker Studios, which is owned by Disney. While it’s great to see sports in the lineup with ESPN, Sling TV won’t come with any channels from ABC, CBS, Fox and NBC. So anyone who was hoping Sling TV would be a seamless way to get content from both cable and broadcast channels will be disappointed. Users will still have to use another service/method (Hulu, OTA Antenna etc.) to get a full channel lineup.

Sling TV will also offer a Kids Extra package for $5 more per month, giving you access to Boomerang, Baby TV, Disney Junior, Disney XD and Duck TV and a News & Info Extra package also for $5 a month which adds channels from HLN, Cooking Channel, DIY and Bloomberg TV. Sling TV won’t come with any DVR service, but users will have access to on-demand videos, going back between 3-7 days, depending on the content.

Sling TV won’t require any new hardware and will be supported on Roku, Amazon Fire TV, Google Nexus Player, Xbox One, (Update: Xbox One will be the exclusive gaming console when it launches in the coming weeks) Apple’s iOS and Google’s Android operating systems and select TVs from Samsung and LG (“coming soon”). While it’s good to see more options coming to consumers, Sling TV will be a very limited offering at launch. It doesn’t include many of the channels that some of the top rated shows are on, limits you to only one stream at a time, provides no options for recording shows, and doesn’t work outside the U.S. We also haven’t yet heard from Dish what the quality of the video will be and the max bitrate it will be encoded at.

If you are single, only watch ESPN and don’t travel outside the U.S., Sling TV is perfect. But for the majority of consumers, even cord-cutters, it’s not going to be a viable option at launch.

Note: As of now, it doesn’t appear that Dish has a link where users can go to learn more Sling TV. That’s a missed opportunity on Dish’s part.

CNET will live stream Dish’s press event at 2pm ET. Live link here. I’ll update this post with the link when I find it.

IP Application Delivery: The Unsung Hero of the CDN Industry

Content delivery networks play a key role in improving user experiences on the web and are responsible for the growth we have seen in the consumption of online content. All content providers rely on CDNs because they provide an effective medium to avoid the global limitations of the public internet. They add value through edge caching by delivering popular content locally from a cache server deployed within a region and completely skipping the latency ridden middle mile as well as through intelligent routing and optimization to avoid congestion at the Internet peering points.

Today’s CDN market is heavily fragmented. [See: cdnlist.com] A majority of the vendors broadly call themselves CDNs, which is a generic term these days, but in reality are focused on a smaller piece of the pie. Vendors such as Level 3, for example, are deeper into the video and large file delivery ecosystem. Others, such as Instart Logic are focused on front end optimization for publishing, retail and ecommerce customers. Some vendors, like Aryaka, run upstream towards the premium enterprise segment.

With the broad coverage of premium content offerings, video and other consumer content delivery has enjoyed extensive coverage by the media, vendors and analysts. Out of the 30+ CDNs today, 20 or more provide value for static content and video. Only a handful truly focus on dynamic content delivery. There is a niche offering in the CDN market that is seldom talked about, one which is very different in terms of technology. IP application delivery or IP application acceleration is likely the unsung hero of the CDN world. It provides value for enterprises with 100% dynamic content with no edge caching capabilities included and isn’t something that’s sold strictly on price, giving CDNs much higher margins.

So how did the need for delivery of dynamic IP applications come about? Legacy ERP, CRM and HR applications were hosted centrally in a client-server model for distributed access within the company’s internal wide area network. MPLS networks combined with WAN optimization appliances did a fairly good job of accelerating employee access to these applications.

However, the enterprise ecosystem has become exceedingly global and mobile over time, while the need for collaboration is stronger than ever. Partners, suppliers and customers have become a part of an integrated supply chain that needs access to these centrally hosted applications from anywhere in the world. So, client server access and WAN needs have changed. Also, MPLS with on premise optimization cannot be deployed for every partner and customer alike. IT teams are faced with the unique challenge of making these applications, that have traditionally been behind the firewall, available to public users.

Pushing these enterprise applications outside the firewall and the use of the public Internet as a mode of access poses the same challenges that content and media customers faced before their adoption of CDNs including latency, congestion, packet loss and jitter. Poor application performance especially in the enterprise space, results in low adoption rates and lost productivity.

Enterprise mobility is different from the issue of delivering cacheable content to a mobile device. The need is to accelerate not just HTTP but practically any IP application, irrespective of the application layer protocol. Fortunately, a few CDNs have recognized this need. IP application acceleration solutions cater to the challenge of providing high performance, cost effective access to centralized applications like the use of distributed SSL VPN by users directed to centralized concentrators, Citrix, FTP and Remote Desktop across globally distributed partners, remote employees, mobile workers and smaller international offices.

Some IP Application acceleration solutions cater to application performance needs through intelligent routing of dynamic traffic over the Internet middle mile. TCP Optimization combined with persistent connections reduces handshaking to a minimum and leads to improved response time. However the public Internet is still a major bottleneck when it comes to delivering dynamic applications with greater real-time needs. The middle mile over the Internet with optimization may be considered intelligent but the Internet is still a shared medium. And even though its availability within a region may be plentiful, across peering points and during rush hour there is still tremendous congestion, packet loss and poor performance.

If you are looking for an ideal solution for your IP application acceleration needs, I would recommend you consider the following issues before you make a decision:

  • Are your users regional or truly global with a footprint into the Americas, Asia Pacific and Europe? If global, the best solution might just be one that is built over a dedicated private network to completely bypass the unreliable public internet for IP application delivery. This would enable end users to experience stable latency and consistency in application performance.
  • For dynamic applications, ensure that the solution includes intelligent features such as TCP optimization and persistent connection capabilities so as to provide acceleration benefits.
  • Ensure the solution is application agnostic and not limited to only one or two applications like SSL VPN as some vendors provide other possible use cases like Citrix, FTP server and RDP.
  • A real world trial for a subset of your critical locations on the vendor’s production network is a great way to determine application performance.
  • Pricing models for IP application delivery can range from simple pricing based on locations, bandwidth and applications to a fairly complex exercise for certain vendors.

The IP application delivery market still presents an unexplored opportunity in the CDN space. More companies are entering this segment of the market, but many still haven’t made the transition to value add services. The competition is scarce with Akamai, CDNetworks and Aryaka trying to capture market share. Akamai is the largest in the space and CDNetworks primarily sells outside of the U.S. Aryaka seems to have an interesting solution for this market, which they claim is truly application agnostic and built on top of a private network. Other CDNs are somewhat in the space, and have limited offerings, but haven’t really gotten them to scale or been able to win a lot of business to date. The CDN market is moving towards more value add services and CDN vendors are still trying to enter those markets and diversify their revenue away from just commodity CDN services. Akamai’s been successful at this for years, CDNetworks has shown success outside the U.S. and Aryaka’s been very aggressive in the market lately, which is getting them into more deals. This is a segment of the CDN market to keep an eye on as Web App Acceleration and IP Application Delivery services are the future of the CDN industry.

Thursday Webinar – Video Monetization and Audience Building

Thursday at 2pm ET, I’ll be moderating another StreamingMedia.com webinar, this time on the topic of, “Video Monetization and Audience Building.” With an explosion in the amount of content being consumed Over-The-Top, video content providers are scrambling to accelerate the capture of additional, ongoing viewership and monetize this new distribution channel. A one-size-fits-all strategy for this type of disruptive scenario can yield disastrous results. Identifying and tailoring specific subscription and other automatically recurring revenue-based monetization models appropriate for a content owner or provider’s audience based upon viewing habits is a key to rapid growth.

Join speakers from Vindicia and Clearleap and bring your questions for a discussion on:

  • Video Consumption Trends
  • Revenue & Monetization Models
  • “Frictionless” Customer Experience
  • Maximizing ACLV/ARPU
  • Innovative Pricing Strategies
  • Revenue Uplift & Churn Mgmt

Register now to attend this webinar, “Video Monetization and Audience Building”.

Video Presentations From Streaming Media West Show Now Online

Screen Shot 2014-12-04 at 11.07.18 AMAll of the sessions and presentations from the Streaming Media West show are now online and available for viewing at streamingmedia.com/videos. I haven’t had the chance to review each video yet so please let me know if you encounter any problems with any of the clips. Presentations from the show can be downloaded from here.

Also, the call for speakers has now opened for the 2015 Streaming Media East show, taking place May 11-13 in NYC. The deadline is January 19th and you can get all the details on the call for speakers page.

Rev Takes a New Approach To Speed Up the Mobile Last Mile

Rev_logoThe CDN market has both steadily grown and evolved over the past twenty years, but the core CDN function continues to be to deploy a network of distributed caches in order to “move the content closer to the user.” As content has also evolved to become much richer and personalized, advanced techniques such as front-end optimization (FEO) and dynamic site acceleration (DSA) have been added to deal with these demands. In recent years, attempts have been made to adapt these techniques to address the rapid shift to mobile access, with many vendors looking to solve the mobile challenge in the market. Despite these attempts, mobile web access performance remains significantly slower than wired access.

CDNs continue to focus on getting content to the edge as quickly as possible, while also relying on low latency, low packet loss inside the last mile, which is typically limited to wired connections. In the U.S. for example, web publishers will pay a traditional CDN to mitigate 70 milliseconds of coast-to-coast latency, but the mobile last mile is anything but low latency. It is both high and highly variable and can range from 30 ms to 300 ms, even in a 4G/LTE network. Rev Software, a two-year old start up has just emerged with a new service it calls, m.cdn  to deal with this challenge.

The founding team at Rev has been building high performance network systems, both wired and wireless for many years at companies such as FastSoft, Juniper Networks, Cisco Systems, Intel and others. The company has raised $4M in private funding with the goal of building a new system that was able to deal with the many variables that exist for mobile users at both the network and device level. Their result is a policy-based system that is able to both detect and respond to rapidly changing conditions in real-time.

Rev says their system is able to uniquely optimize every end-user request at both the content and network levels. When a session request arrives, a learning machine examines historic real user measurement (RUM) data collected from previous sessions and also a real-time feedback loop that runs continuously. Key session parameters are then extracted, which inform the policy controller how to dynamically set the content and network optimization resources, which are then implemented by an on-the-fly configurator. Once the content is optimized, the network optimizer, which provides the bulk of the performance benefits, adaptively accelerates content delivery over the last mile. Accelerated last mile delivery can be done asymmetrically (no changes needed to receiving end) to both browsers and mobile apps as well as symmetrically to apps via a mobile SDK.

Traditional CDNs primarily deliver content from the web publisher/content owner, however, a growing amount of web content comes from third-party sites such as Google, Facebook, Twitter and various ad servers. For some sites, more than half of the content comes from third-party sites. In order to ensure that this third-party content receives the benefit of last mile acceleration, the Rev system sets up a device proxy at the edge that is able to redirect this content and accelerate the delivery of it as well.

The company says that due to the highly complex nature of its technology, a decision was made to deliver that technology in a “CDN form factor” in order to abstract that complexity from its customers. To accomplish this, a veteran of the CDN industry was recruited and key CDN features were added including caching, instant purge, DSA, WAF/DDoS, SSL, etc. and deployed over a 22 PoP global network. Rev has also built a very robust user interface portal, which includes: real-time RUM reporting, self-configuration, support for Google analytics, and integrated synthetic testing.

Another way Rev says they are unique is in the way it makes its service available to customers. Unlike its CDN competitors, who attempt to displace an incumbent, Rev can be configured as an overlay network in order to provide dynamic last mile acceleration for just the mobile users. Of course, for those companies that prefer, Rev can provide the standard CDN functions as well and the onboarding process for Rev’s m.cdn service is consistent with that of existing CDNs.

Over the past few years, a number of CDN vendors have started offering services aimed at improving mobile performance. Rev says that what truly makes them different is the fact that they are a “networking technology” company that is addressing the mobile last mile latency at the network level. They claim to be providing up to 2X increase in end-to-end mobile performance for both mobile browsers and apps, when compared to the customer’s existing solution. It will be interesting to see if actual customers agree and how the incumbents respond. Rev came out of beta in October and are now in general availability and currently have around 20 customers.